The current preoccupation about a recession is largely based on the fact that the current economic expansion and the accompanying bull market are both long-running. So, as the reasoning goes, both ...

In the past few weeks, the gloom has become more widespread on the prospects of a recession in the near future.

If the next recession begins soon, it’ll come after a longer-than-usual lag, to be sure, but the lag prior to the “Great Recession” of 2007-09 was also long: 17 months.

A trend in the stock market shows investors are betting on continued US growth, one firm says. Historically, an increase in defensive valuations has preceded a recession, but that's not happening ...

T hese days it is hard to turn a corner without bumping into predictions of an American recession. Big banks, prominent economists and former officials are all saying that a downturn is a near ...

U.S. Recession Odds Surge in Prediction Markets on Tariff Shock. What Next for BTC? Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing in an over-50% chance of a U.S. recession this year.

Based on the NY Fed model, the probability of U.S. recession over next 12 months is low. See why you should expect an imminent recession over the next 12 months.