This really tells the whole story, doesn’t it? Depending on which sources you went with, the New Orleans Saints had a win probability of something between 97% and 98% late in Monday night’s game with ...

Whew. Let’s all take a deep breath. Sunday’s season opener between the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons was a roller coaster ride from start to finish, peaking in the fourth quarter with a ...

For any event that has multiple outcomes with different probabilities, it can be helpful and illustrative to construct a chart or diagram of the possible outcomes. Tree diagrams are a useful example ...

With 6:38 remaining in Sunday's game against the New York Giants, the Denver Broncos had a 0.7% chance to overcome a 26-8 deficit. And that's exactly what they did. Broncos second-year quarterback Bo ...

Win probability charts -- which we've covered extensively on this website -- can sometimes feel misleading when you're staring at a near-100 percent chance of winning. Look at that cliff! The Pats had ...

Apparently, being up by six runs wasn't enough for the New York Mets. After scoring five runs in the top of the ninth, the team's bullpen blew a lead and fans had a similarly epic meltdown. And that ...

The Titans' chances of pulling off a stunning upset against the Dolphins seemed dead in the water after a couple of key fourth-quarter turnovers. The first came when Eric Garror inexplicably muffed a ...

some teams are already in midseason form pic.twitter.com/2yOQWcOzXc — Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) September 11, 2022 Whew. Let’s all take a deep breath. Sunday’s ...