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Why didn’t the thunderstorms develop last night as we had forecast? The warm and moist airmass was in place to provide fuel for storms along with good shear to organize storms. This air required sufficient lift (eg. cold front) and surface heating to develop storms. Storms popped up in the late afternoon “testing” the environment, and there was confidence in the late afternoon with clear skies that more storms would quickly develop and become severe. In the late afternoon, high-level anvil cloud
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